{"id":2507,"date":"2022-05-05T09:58:17","date_gmt":"2022-05-05T09:58:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/royabhishek.in\/urbanbuyer\/a-race-to-the-regions-really\/"},"modified":"2022-05-05T09:58:17","modified_gmt":"2022-05-05T09:58:17","slug":"a-race-to-the-regions-really","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/royabhishek.in\/urbanbuyer\/a-race-to-the-regions-really\/","title":{"rendered":"A race to the regions. Really?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\n<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n\n\"key<\/picture><\/span><\/p>\n

Key takeaways<\/p>\n

Despite what the media is telling you there is still no race to the regions.<\/p>\n

Much of the regional growth is in the areas immediately adjacent to the major capital city boundaries and more often than not within commuting distance to the big smoke.<\/p>\n

Our truly regional centres aren\u2019t growing any faster than usual.<\/p>\n

While the annual population growth in Australia has plummeted due to our Covid Cocoon, our net immigration intake is about to ramp up and big time.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

The big shift to regional Australia is indisputably on.<\/b><\/p>\n

This topic has got a massive head of steam.<\/p>\n

To be a bit flippant, it needs a good slapping down.<\/p>\n

Below is a recent\u00a0press clipping<\/strong>\u00a0from The Oz newspaper.<\/p>\n

\"01\"<\/p>\n

To\u00a0repeat<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0there is no race to the regions.<\/p>\n

If my recent conversations are any guide, then a lot of people are making real estate buying decisions, on this shallow analysis and associated exposure.<\/p>\n

To deliver a final smack here, let\u2019s focus on the population growth figures for New South Wales, Victoria, and Queensland.<\/p>\n

The table in the media article correctly states that Sydney\u2019s population lost -5,200 people over the twelve months to 20th<\/sup>\u00a0June 2021, whilst NSW\u2019s regional locations gained 26,800 peeps.<\/p>\n

Melbourne lost 60,500 people yet regional Victoria\u2019s headcount was up 15,700.<\/p>\n

And the Brisbane capital region grew by 21,900 folks and the Qld regions rose by 24,100 people during fiscal 2021.<\/p>\n

Here’s where regional growth is occurring<\/h2>\n

As explained several times over the last two years, much of this regional growth is in the areas immediately adjacent to the major capital city boundaries and more often than not within commuting distance to the big smoke.<\/p>\n

\"Population2\"<\/p>\n

In NSW some 38% of the recent regional population growth was in the Newcastle area; followed by 19% in the Wollongong region and another 9% in Richmond\/Tweed adjacent to Queensland\u2019s Gold Coast.<\/p>\n

Ballarat, Bendigo, and Geelong accounted for 70% of Victoria\u2019s regional increase last year.<\/p>\n

And in Queensland, the Gold Coast held a 35% market share of the state\u2019s regional population growth: with the Sunshine Coast coming in second with 30%.<\/p>\n

The next biggest regional Queensland growth market was the Fraser Coast (think Hervey Bay) with a 1,670 population increase \u2013 or 7% of the overall regional growth tally \u2013 during financial 2021.<\/p>\n

In fact, all but three Queensland regions, saw their annual population growth rates fall during 2021.<\/p>\n

The exceptions were Mackay, with an 840 increase in 2021, compared to the 300 previous five-year annual average.<\/p>\n

Gympie, up 790 last year, compared with its 680 average, and Gladstone, with 335 versus 235.<\/p>\n

For mine\u00a0charts 1 and 2<\/strong> hammers the final nail in the \u2018trend setting\u2019 regional growth coffin.<\/p>\n

Chart 1<\/strong>\u00a0shows that annual population growth in Australia has plummeted.<\/p>\n

It is at its lowest level since the first world war.<\/p>\n

The big reason for this fall is that overseas migration has stopped due to Covid restrictions.<\/p>\n

Some 70% of the population growth in our capitals comes from immigration.<\/p>\n

\"02\"<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Chart 2<\/strong> shows a big fall in population growth in our major cities\u00a0and importantly very little change in regional growth numbers.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Our truly regional centres aren\u2019t growing any faster than usual.<\/p>\n

The absence of overseas migration makes their recent population growth rates look ballistic when compared to our bigger cities.<\/p>\n

Despite headlines and the talking heads spruiking otherwise, there isn\u2019t really much to see here.<\/p>\n

Oh, and both my charts in this post \u2013 and whilst I would argue such action needs some really careful deliberation \u2013 indicate that our annual net immigration intake is about to ramp up and big time.<\/p>\n

\n<\/p>\n
\nAbout Michael Matusik<\/a><\/span><\/span>
\nMichael is director of independent property advisory Matusik Property Insights. He is independent, perceptive and to the point; has helped over 550 new residential developments come to fruition and writes his insightful Matusik Missive<\/a><\/span>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Key takeaways Despite what the media is telling you there is still no race to the regions. Much of the regional growth is in the areas immediately adjacent to the major capital city boundaries and more often than not within commuting distance to the big smoke. Our truly regional centres aren\u2019t growing any faster […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2508,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[153,39,37,38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2507","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feature-featured","category-homepage-top","category-latest","category-property-investment"],"yoast_head":"\nA race to the regions. 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