{"id":2377,"date":"2022-04-18T10:35:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-18T10:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/royabhishek.in\/urbanbuyer\/52-years-of-valid-reasons-not-to-invest\/"},"modified":"2022-04-18T10:35:00","modified_gmt":"2022-04-18T10:35:00","slug":"52-years-of-valid-reasons-not-to-invest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/royabhishek.in\/urbanbuyer\/52-years-of-valid-reasons-not-to-invest\/","title":{"rendered":"52 years of valid reasons not to invest"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div id=\"toc_container\" class=\"no_bullets\">\n<p class=\"toc_title\">Please use the menu below to navigate to any article section:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Have you noticed?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>There will always be someone telling you not to invest in property.<\/p>\n<p>In fact there are many commentators telling you <a href=\"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/?p=144561&amp;preview_id=144561\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">why 2022 is the worst time to buy property.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-143835 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/advice-invest-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"Advice Invest\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/advice-invest-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/advice-invest-1230x692.jpg 1230w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/advice-invest-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/advice-invest-1160x653.jpg 1160w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/advice-invest.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/>But that\u2019s nothing new.<\/p>\n<p>Sure we currently have geo political problems, rising inflation and the spectre of rising interest rates with many Negative Nellies out there telling us at property market is going to crash.<\/p>\n<p>Over the years there has always been somebody telling us why property investment should be avoided, despite all the positives that investing in real estate can offer over the long term.<\/p>\n<p>Just look back to 2008 when we were working our way out of the Global Financial Crisis, a number of commentators suggested that property values would not increase in Australia for another decade.<\/p>\n<p>Well, they\u2019ve been proven wrong, as owners of well-located properties in most of our capital cities and many of our regional centres have enjoyed substantial growth in the value of their properties.<\/p>\n<p>Then look back two years ago at the beginning of Covid when most of the bank economists warned that property values would plummets 15% or more.<\/p>\n<p>Instead the total value of all the residential residential real estate in Australia increased by $2 trillion over the last 2 years (more than it had in the previous decade) as the value of most Australian dwellings increased by 20% during the pandemic, and some even by 30%.<\/p>\n<p>Yet the property pessimists are out again telling us how a rising interest rates will lead to real estate Armageddon.<\/p>\n<p>Now I know at times their arguments seem to make sense, but history has proven them wrong.<\/p>\n<p>The average price of a home in the major capitals of Australia has just kept going up and up.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"think-about-it\">Think about it \u2026<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>What did your parents pay for their house?<\/p>\n<p>Who wouldn\u2019t want to buy their parents\u2019 home at the price they paid for it?<\/p>\n<p>In 1978, my parents paid $25,000 for their house and took a 30-year loan from the bank to pay it off.<\/p>\n<p>About 25 years ago my mother sold that house for more than $600,000 and she had done little to improve its value.<\/p>\n<p>Today it would be worth more than $2.5 million.<\/p>\n<p>Yet over those years, there have always been plenty of ready excuses on offer to put off investing in property.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"lets-have-a-look-at-a-few-of-the-excuses-i-could-have-used-over-in-the-past\">Let\u2019s have a look at a few of the excuses I could have used over in the past:<\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>In the early to mid 60s we had just emerged from a major credit squeeze and finance had dried up making it hard to buy real estate.<\/li>\n<li>In 1967 there was an Arab Israeli War and in 1968 Robert F Kennedy was assassinated.<\/li>\n<li>In the late-60s we had the nickel share boom in Australia and property was proclaimed an inferior investment.<\/li>\n<li>In the mid-70s we had a recession in Australia. <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-55019 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/recession-australia-note-money-economy-squeeze-tighten-save-saving-budget-cut-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"recession-australia-note-money-economy-squeeze-tighten-save-saving-budget-cut\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/recession-australia-note-money-economy-squeeze-tighten-save-saving-budget-cut-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/recession-australia-note-money-economy-squeeze-tighten-save-saving-budget-cut-1024x682.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/recession-australia-note-money-economy-squeeze-tighten-save-saving-budget-cut-1160x773.jpg 1160w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/recession-australia-note-money-economy-squeeze-tighten-save-saving-budget-cut.jpg 1800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/li>\n<li>In the late-70s we suffered from rising inflation and the OPEC Oil crisis.<\/li>\n<li>In 1983 there was a recession with high interest rates and peaking inflation. A few years later commentators said property prices were too high and would take years to recover.<\/li>\n<li>In 1985 the government changed the tax laws pertaining to property with the quarantining of the tax benefits of negative gearing and the introduction of a Capital Gains Tax. Commentators explained how this was going to be the end of property investment as we knew it.<\/li>\n<li>In 1987 there was the fear of a \u201c1930s-type depression\u201d after a severe \u201cBlack Monday\u201d stock market crash.<\/li>\n<li>By 1989-90, inflation was again too high and led to the famous \u201crecession we had to\u00a0have\u201d as interest rates rose to well over double digit figures \u2013 a heaven-sent excuse for procrastinators to stay out of a property market awash with bargains! I still remember in the late 80s the cry was \u201cOur children will never be able to afford to enter the property market\u201d or \u201cPrices will never go any higher, don\u2019t invest in property\u201d.<\/li>\n<li>In 1991 Australian unemployment was 11.3% and some unfortunate owners chose to sell their houses at bargain basement prices, as many people felt property values would only fall further. <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-68109 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/47629466_l-300x221.jpg\" alt=\"Economic growth\" width=\"300\" height=\"221\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/47629466_l-300x221.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/47629466_l-768x565.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/47629466_l-1024x753.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/47629466_l-1160x853.jpg 1160w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/47629466_l-375x275.jpg 375w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/47629466_l-270x200.jpg 270w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/47629466_l.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/li>\n<li>The mounting foreign debt and current account deficit of 1993-94 was enough to scare people off buying property.<\/li>\n<li>The \u201cworld economic slowdown\u201d and the \u201cAsian Financial Crisis\u201d were good excuses not to buy property in the mid-1990s.<\/li>\n<li>In the mid90s we were told inflation was low so property prices would stop rising.<\/li>\n<li>Rising oil prices, September 11 (World Trade Centre bombing) and an oversupply of investment property in the inner-city areas could have been great excuses not to invest in property in the early 2000\u2019s.<\/li>\n<li>In 2001 the introduction of GST in Australia was predicted to put a damper on property values.<\/li>\n<li>The property slump of 2004-06 was accompanied by much negative press and at the time seemingly experienced property commentators were suggesting that property values wouldn\u2019t increase again until 2010. Then there was further confusion about potential changes to land tax, vendor\u2019s tax and interest rate increases.<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-52985 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/globe-economy-growth-health-world-heart-decline-map-300x220.jpg\" alt=\"globe-economy-growth-health-world-heart-decline-map\" width=\"300\" height=\"220\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/globe-economy-growth-health-world-heart-decline-map-300x220.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/globe-economy-growth-health-world-heart-decline-map-944x692.jpg 944w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/globe-economy-growth-health-world-heart-decline-map.jpg 1160w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/globe-economy-growth-health-world-heart-decline-map-375x275.jpg 375w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/li>\n<li>Despite many forecasters predicting a property crash in 2008\/09 as a result of the Global Financial Crisis, the major property markets around Australia, other than the specialised Gold Coast market, experienced a soft landing.<\/li>\n<li>In 2011 and 2012 many thought the world\u2019s financial markets could collapse due to the economic troubles in Europe and the USA.<\/li>\n<li>In 2016 the world\u2019s economy was faltering in part due to China\u2019s slowing economy and falling commodity prices.<\/li>\n<li>In 2018-9 when APRA intervened and tightened credit property values in Sydney and Melbourne had their biggest fall in modern history slipping 15% and 11%, after growing 70% and 50% respectively over the previous 5 years.<\/li>\n<li>In 2020 the concerns about Covid stopped many prospective property buyers, but look how wrong they were.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span id=\"boy-were-there-lots-of-reasons-not-to-invest-in-real-estate\">Boy were there lots of reasons not to invest in real estate<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Yet through these times the value of well-located capital city residential properties has increased consistently, at around 7% per annum.<\/p>\n<p>The following chart shows real (after inflation) median house price growth despite all the economic challenges since 1970.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ao-fig1-real-median-house-prices-since-1970.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-163656 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ao-fig1-real-median-house-prices-since-1970.jpeg\" alt=\"Ao Fig1 Real Median House Prices Since 1970\" width=\"778\" height=\"470\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ao-fig1-real-median-house-prices-since-1970.jpeg 778w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/ao-fig1-real-median-house-prices-since-1970-300x181.jpeg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 778px) 100vw, 778px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.firstlinks.com.au\/house-prices-surge-falls-common-coming\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Firstlinks<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The first investment property I bought for $18,000 would be worth over $2million today if I hadn\u2019t pulled it down to build two townhouses on the land; and those properties (that I still own) are worth close to $4million<\/p>\n<p>Over the years the rent from my properties has helped pay their mortgages and the capital growth has allowed me to borrow against their increased value and pyramid myself into other property investments.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, I\u2019ve built a very substantial multi-million dollar property portfolio starting with my initial $2,000 deposit.<\/p>\n<p>And I haven\u2019t really much of my own money into my portfolio since. It\u2019s all come from compounding capital growth.<\/p>\n<p>You see\u2026 while many people invest in real estate to get cash flow\u2026<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"iinvest-in-real-estate-to-buy-more-properties\">I\u00a0invest in real estate to buy more properties.<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>That\u2019s a very different way of thinking!<\/p>\n<p>The deposit for the last property I bought, and virtually every other property I bought over the years, came from the equity of my previous investment properties.<\/p>\n<p>And the serviceability for the banks has come from the rentals I\u2019ve received from my existing property portfolio.<\/p>\n<p>Of course that\u2019s why I concentrated on buying high-growth properties in areas that are going to outperform the averages with regards to capital growth and locations where the tenants are renting more for lifestyle choices rather than because they can\u2019t afford to buy.<\/p>\n<p>This means they will be able to afford to keep paying higher rents over the years as the value of my properties increase.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s very different from buying cheap properties in lower socio-economic areas where kids are unlikely to be able to pay higher rent over the years.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"so-whats-ahead\">So what\u2019s ahead?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Sure there are some headwinds facing us and I see future capital growth a little more subdued over the next few years.<\/p>\n<p>But I believe the next 10 years are going to be just as good as the last decade has been, and the one before that too!<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ve heard it said that if you want to know what lies ahead start by looking at the clues behind you, and if you think about it, a lot has happened in most Australian property markets in the past decade. <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-142327 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/australia-property-300x169.jpeg\" alt=\"Australia Property\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/australia-property-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/australia-property-1231x692.jpeg 1231w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/australia-property-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/australia-property-scaled.jpeg 2048w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/australia-property-1160x652.jpeg 1160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>If you visited any of our capital cities 10 years ago and came back today you would scarcely recognise the skyline and the impact of the high-rise buildings and city apartment developments.<\/p>\n<p>In Melbourne there is Docklands; in Perth, the Golden Mile on the drive in from the airport as well as the new high-rise apartments, and the Sydney and Brisbane landscapes are now peppered with inner-city apartments.<\/p>\n<p>As well as this many of the old houses in our suburban streets have made way for modern townhouses and apartments.<\/p>\n<p>But look at all the challenges are economy and property markets faced during that time.<\/p>\n<p>In a similar fashion there will be significant changes to our property landscape as Australia\u2019s population heads towards 29 million people by the end of this decade.<\/p>\n<p>And as this happens our property markets are going to be underpinned by this strong population growth that will resume as our borders reopen and the general wealth of our nation, and those who take the opportunity to buy well located residential real estate during the current lull in the property market are likely to look back in a decade\u2019s time and think <em>\u201cGee I made a great decision!\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<aside><strong style=\"clear: both; margin: 40px 0 20px 0; font-size: 24px; color: #000000; font-family: Oswald, Regular; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.1;\">Now is the time to take advantage of the opportunities the current property markets are offering<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-139884 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/metropole-team.jpg\" alt=\"Metropole\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Sure the markets are moving on, but not all properties are going to increase in value. Now, more than ever, correct property selection will be critical.<\/p>\n<p>You can trust the team at Metropole to provide you with\u00a0<strong>direction<\/strong>,\u00a0<strong>guidance<\/strong>,\u00a0and\u00a0<strong>results<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Whether you\u2019re a beginner or an experienced investor, at times like we are currently experiencing you need an advisor who takes a holistic approach to your wealth creation and that\u2019s exactly what you get from the multi-award-winning\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/metropole.com.au\/meet-the-team\/?utm_source=pu-postender&amp;utm_medium=referral\">team at Metropole<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>We help our clients grow, protect and pass on their wealth through a range of services including:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Strategic property advice<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013 Allow us to build a <strong>Strategic Property Plan<\/strong> for you and your family.\u00a0 Planning is bringing the future into the present so you can do something about it now! <a rel=\"sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/metropole.com.au\/strategic-property-plan\/?utm_source=pu-postender&amp;utm_medium=referral\">Click here to learn more <\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>Buyer\u2019s agency<\/strong> \u2013 As Australia\u2019s most trusted buyers\u2019 agents we\u2019ve been involved in over $4Billion worth of transactions creating wealth for our clients and we can do the same for you. Our on the ground teams in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane bring you years of experience and perspective \u2013 that\u2019s something money just can\u2019t buy. We\u2019ll help you find your next home or an investment-grade property.\u00a0\u00a0<a rel=\"sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/investor-enquiry\/?utm_source=postender&amp;utm_medium=internallinks\">Click here to learn how we can help you<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Wealth Advisory<\/strong> \u2013 We can provide you with strategic tailored financial planning and wealth advice. <a rel=\"sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/wealthadvisory.metropole.com.au\/?utm_source=pu-postender&amp;utm_medium=referral\">Click here to learn more about we can help you<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Property Management<\/strong> \u2013 Our stress-free property management services help you maximise your property returns. <a rel=\"sponsored\" href=\"https:\/\/propertymanagement.metropole.com.au\/?utm_source=pu-postender&amp;utm_medium=referral\">Click here<\/a> to find out why our clients enjoy a vacancy rate considerably below the market average, our tenants stay an average of 3 years, and our properties lease 10 days faster than the market average.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/50-years-of-valid-reasons-not-to-invest\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Please use the menu below to navigate to any article section: Have you noticed? There will always be someone telling you not to invest in property. In fact there are many commentators telling you why 2022 is the worst time to buy property. But that\u2019s nothing new. Sure we currently have geo political problems, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2378,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39,37,76,77,38,81,103],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-homepage-top","category-latest","category-michael-yardney-blog","category-michael-yardneys-commentary","category-property-investment","category-weekly-latest","category-weekly-latest-feature"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>52 years of valid reasons not to invest | Urban Buyer: Buyers Agent &amp; Advocates | Best Property Buyers For You<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Please use the menu below to navigate to any article section: Have you noticed? 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