{"id":2259,"date":"2022-04-03T09:54:27","date_gmt":"2022-04-03T09:54:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/royabhishek.in\/urbanbuyer\/the-brisbane-floods-and-what-it-means-for-property-prices-moving-forward\/"},"modified":"2022-04-03T09:54:27","modified_gmt":"2022-04-03T09:54:27","slug":"the-brisbane-floods-and-what-it-means-for-property-prices-moving-forward","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/royabhishek.in\/urbanbuyer\/the-brisbane-floods-and-what-it-means-for-property-prices-moving-forward\/","title":{"rendered":"The Brisbane floods and what it means for property prices moving forward"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div id=\"toc_container\" class=\"no_bullets\">\n<p class=\"toc_title\">Please use the menu below to navigate to any article section:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>What will flooding mean for the Brisbane property market?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-162892 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/floods-1-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"Floods\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/floods-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/floods-1.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/>Flooding was supposed to be a once in a 100-year event and here we are just a decade out from the last round of floods.<\/p>\n<p>In the past few weeks and the coming months, it is important to support those in need of assistance and provide a level of compassion.<\/p>\n<p>But for property buyers and investors, one can\u2019t help being anxious about what another flood event will mean for our property markets moving forward.<\/p>\n<p>It adds another element of uncertainty in a rapidly changing landscape.<\/p>\n<p>But, by understanding several key factors, you can gain back a greater level of control and certainty and move forward with confidence.<\/p>\n<p>I believe the market will react and respond more positively this time around and I want to help you understand why.<\/p>\n<p>Here are my thoughts.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"The Brisbane Floods and What It Means for Property Prices Moving Forward\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/7qohc67_Uko?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"economic-environment\">Economic Environment<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>To begin with, I believe that it is important to understand the current economic landscape when comparing it to 2011.<\/p>\n<p>This is especially important when you examine the major factors that drive our markets.<\/p>\n<p>The first thing to remember is that Queensland\u2019s economy was already suffering and in recovery mode in 2011 following the GFC.<\/p>\n<p>The other big difference was that the Standard Variable Interest Rate at the time was north of 7.5%, compared to record lows today in the 2%.<\/p>\n<p>Two other ingredients that I have <a href=\"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/the-two-ingredients-missing-for-a-decade-and-now-driving-brisbanes-property-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">analysed previously<\/a> are the number of jobs being created and the amount of migration taking place.<\/p>\n<p>In a continuing theme, these figures are in stark contrast to one another when comparing the figures today, to just over a decade ago.<\/p>\n<p>In 2011, there were barely any jobs being created and this trend continued with further natural disasters and mining downturns throughout the decade.<\/p>\n<p>Employment growth then started to ramp up significantly from late 2017, with an estimated $16 billion dollars of infrastructure spending set to create 100,000 jobs alone in Brisbane.<\/p>\n<p>With jobs on offer migration steadily started to build from circa 5,000 in 2011, skyrocketing to the north of 16,000 today and creating record demand for housing in a low supply environment.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/01-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-162946 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/01-2-1160x536.png\" alt=\"01\" width=\"1160\" height=\"536\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/01-2-1160x536.png 1160w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/01-2-300x139.png 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/01-2.png 1225w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1160px) 100vw, 1160px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Finally, the last piece of the puzzle is supply and demand.<\/p>\n<p>Demand has been consistently at above-average levels for quite some time now, especially when compared to 2011, while supply has fallen.<\/p>\n<p>I would not expect to see demand fall too much, but with the floods now taking a layer of supply away from the market these flood-free suburbs will just see greater demand.<\/p>\n<p>Put simply, we are in a considerably better position to bounce back more quickly from these floods this time around.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"history\">History<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>While history can not necessarily predict the future, it can be a valuable tool in analysing past, similar events.<\/p>\n<p>In a study following the 2011 floods, Property Economist Chris Eves from QUT found only a passing short-term effect on property prices.<\/p>\n<p>Flooded suburbs only saw a small reduction in values after the 2011 floods, with middle to high-end homes rebounding after just 12 months.<\/p>\n<p>It found that prices in both flood and non-flood affected suburbs fell in the first quarter following the floods, before steadily rising in the following three quarters.<\/p>\n<p>The study also found that areas in higher value suburbs didn\u2019t see prices fall as much as lower value suburbs and it highlighted medium value suburbs saw an increase after 3 months.<\/p>\n<p>Another study from Michael Matusik also broke down the market to analyse how Dry suburbs compared to Flooded suburbs when compared to the market average.<\/p>\n<p>Naturally, the dryer suburbs were quicker to recover from this event and went on to outperform both the average and the flood-affected suburbs.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, while the Flooded suburbs took longer to recover, they eventually surpassed the market average after 5 years.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/02-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-162947 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/02-1.png\" alt=\"02\" width=\"1080\" height=\"810\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/02-1.png 1080w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/02-1-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/02-1-923x692.png 923w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/02-1-800x600.png 800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1080px) 100vw, 1080px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"investing-with-certainty\">Investing with Certainty<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-162212 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/investments3-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"Investments3\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/investments3-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/investments3.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/>Moving forward, how do you invest with confidence in this post-flood environment, and what are the lessons from the past?<\/p>\n<p>From a macro perspective, start with the bigger picture, understand the driving factors for property prices and invest with greater economic and employment activity.<\/p>\n<p>From a micro perspective, do not take any chances and only invest only in dry, flood-free, and stormwater-free locations.<\/p>\n<p>The council provides flooding and overland flow reports free of charge and it simply must form a part of your due diligence process.<\/p>\n<p>Do not compromise on this, it is just not worth it.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-162949 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/flooded-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"Flooded\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/flooded-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/flooded.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/>Once our team identifies a property with flood or stormwater flags, we instantly rule it out.<\/p>\n<p>It is ok to buy in a flood-affected suburb, but head to higher ground.<\/p>\n<p>Chris Eves\u2019 studies highlighted that the well-located, more affluent areas were quicker to be repaired and return to normal, which saw the flood stigma removed quickly and prices followed.<\/p>\n<p>Another reason why understanding wages and demographics are the keys to investing.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"conclusion\">Conclusion<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Coming off the back of the 2011 floods, property prices took anywhere from 12 months (dryer suburbs) to 54 months (flooded suburbs) to recover.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-162132 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/brisbane-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"Brisbane\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/brisbane-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/brisbane.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/>But at the time, the economy was in recovery mode after a GFC, with economic and very little jobs growth.<\/p>\n<p>These conditions are in stark contrast to what we are seeing today, especially in Brisbane.<\/p>\n<p>We have a huge number of jobs being created in our inner-ring suburbs and migration is now officially off the charts.<\/p>\n<p>This is still creating a huge demand for property in our inner to middle-ring suburbs in a lower supply environment.<\/p>\n<p>I would anticipate that in these types of dryer locations, the flooding will have little to no impact on property prices.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-162950 img-responsive\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/property-investments-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"Property Investments\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/property-investments-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.propertyupdate.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/property-investments.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"\/>While history will show us that areas that are flood-affected will still recover, it will just take time and in this environment, likely less than before.<\/p>\n<p>It emphasises that property should be a longer-term investment and time in the market, in the best possible locations, is much more important than getting the timing right.<\/p>\n<p>The right time to invest is when you are ready, this should not hold you back.<\/p>\n<p>Just be sure to take the necessary precautions and you can invest with confidence and get it right.<\/p>\n<p><strong>ALSO READ: <a href=\"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/east-coast-floods-and-the-housing-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">East coast floods and the housing market<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/propertyupdate.com.au\/the-brisbane-floods-and-what-it-means-for-property-prices-moving-forward\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Please use the menu below to navigate to any article section: What will flooding mean for the Brisbane property market? Flooding was supposed to be a once in a 100-year event and here we are just a decade out from the last round of floods. In the past few weeks and the coming months, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2260,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,39,37,104,38,121],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2259","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-homepage-top","category-latest","category-property-finance","category-property-investment","category-property-investment-brisbane"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Brisbane floods and what it means for property prices moving forward | Urban Buyer: Buyers Agent &amp; Advocates | Best Property Buyers For You<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Please use the menu below to navigate to any article section: What will flooding mean for the Brisbane property market? 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